Mammoth Mountain & Eastern Sierra Weather Forecast

Mammoth Mountain & Eastern Sierra Weather Forecast

Footloose Sports Bike Shop - 760-934-2400
Footloose Sports Bike Shop – 760-934-2400

Mammoth Lakes and Eastern Sierra Weather for Monday, August 16th, 2021 @ 12:19 PM

Here in the Eastern Sierra, we had a nice Friday/Saturday, however, on Sunday the smoke came back with some bad air quality.  Today into Tuesday expect more warm days with unhealthy smoke and haze.

Smoke and Haze: With AQI levels in the upper 100’s the air quality is unhealthful for all. I would advise you not to be outside with AQI’s in the stage 1 and 2 range at this time. A true n95 mask will help, but the cloth masks people are wearing these days do not prevent the PM2.5 crap from the wildfires from getting into your lungs.

The good news as far as air quality goes is as the week goes on we should start to see less smoke and haze moving into the area. I am hoping the upcoming pattern change will blow a lot of the smoke out of the Western USA.

With that said more than likely the Eastern Sierra is going to see waves of haze and smoke at times until at least mid Fall. It’s going to take the first snow and rains of the upcoming wet season to get these fires to start to die off.

Weather Synopsis: The ridge of high pressure that has been with us will hang on for one more day.  Then a low drops down to the east of the area bringing with it much cooler temperatures during the day and cooler overnight lows for all areas of the Eastern Sierra. This is a dry pattern and will bring with it lower humidity levels and dew points. Expect the local fire danger to be going up now as a result.

Temperatures: Highs through Tuesday will be in the mid-70s on Mammoth Mountain and up in the Mammoth Lakes Basin at the 9000-foot level. Mammoth Lakes will be in the upper 70s to low 80s with Bishop into the mid 100s. Expect a 7-10 degree drop in all areas by Thursday at the latest.

Here are the links to the local NWS Forecasts for Main Lodge & the Mammoth Lakes Basin, Mammoth Lakes, June Lake, Crowley Lake, and Bishop.

Extended Outlook: Around day 10 heights rise again, but not to the extent they have over the last few days.

Looking out towards Fall and into the Winter months, it’s looking dry and warm to start the Fall. Most of the models still are undecided on a neutral or weak La Nina winter at this point.

I posted the latest outlook from the ECMWF for October – December down the page a bit.

Current Smoke Map:

With all the fires burning in the western USA and up into Canada there is an area of smoke from Central California out to the Great Lakes right now.

Smoke Map
Smoke Map

Current Air Quality

Current Eastern Sierra Air Quality

Window-cast from the Mammoth Lakes Airport WebcamWindow-cast from the Mammoth Lakes Airport Webcam

Live Radar View of Central CaliforniaLive Radar View of Central California

GOES Satellite View of California and the West CoastNOAA Goes 17 Satellite ViewImages Updated Monday – Wednesday & Friday by 1 PM

Updated Monday August16th @ 1 PM

HRRR Temperature Forecast

HRRR Precipitation Forecast

 

HRRR Current Dew Point

HRRR Current Humidity Levels

Precipitable Water

ECMWF Accumulated Precipitation

 

ECMWF EPS Ensemble going out 10 days / 240 hour

Long Range Outlooks from the ECMWF

Forecasting Weather Images

NOAA GOES 17 Full Pacific Satellite View
NOAA GOES 17 Full Pacific Satellite View
Goes 17 North Pacific Satellite View
Goes 17 North Pacific Satellite View
Goes 17 West Coast Satellite View
Goes 17 West Coast Satellite View
24 QPF Forecast for the USA
24 QPF Forecast for the USA
Day 2 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 2 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 3 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 3 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 4-5 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 4-5 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 6-7 QPF Chart for the USA
Day 6-7 QPF Chart for the USA

Mammoth Mountain 6-10 Day Weather Outlook

Mammoth Mountain 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook

Mammoth Mountain 10-14 Day Temperature Outlook

Mammoth Mountain 10-14 Day Precipitation Outlook

PNA Forecast Chart
PNA Forecast Chart
Arctic Oscillation Forecast
Arctic Oscillation Forecast

The MOJO Outlook

MOJO - All Model Mean Forecast
MOJO – All Model Mean Forecast
MOJO - NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (NCPE)
MOJO – NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (NCPE)
MOJO - NCEP Global Bias-Corrected Ensemble Forecast System (NCPB)
MOJO – NCEP Global Bias-Corrected Ensemble Forecast System (NCPB)
MOJO - Climate Forecast System (NCFS)
MOJO – Climate Forecast System (NCFS)
MOJO - ECMWF Forecasts System (ECMF)
MOJO – ECMWF Forecasts System (ECMF)
MOJO - CMET Canadian Forecast
MOJO – CMET Canadian Forecast

Mammoth Mountain and Eastern Sierra Weather Posts

Who Are We?

Steve Taylor – Mammoth Snowman Over the last 30+ years, Snowman has spent countless hours studying and learning about Mammoth Mountain Weather and Snow Conditions first hand. He has been skiing around the hill with marked ski poles since March of 1991 so he can measure the fresh snowfall amounts out on the hill. 

Snowman started blogging this information back in 1990 on the old Mammoth BBS system, then the RSN Forums and then on to MammothSnowman.com in 2004 with Video & Photo Blog report. (No YouTube back then). Facebook got added to the fold back in 2008 and then the Facebook Group in 2016. 

Reports, videos, and photos from the website have been featured on both local TV Stations here in Mammoth, along with AP, Fox, ABC, CBS, and NBC News.

Ted Schlaepfer – Mammoth WeatherGuy – The Powder Forecast – Posted Tuesday and Fridays at 5 PM November into Mid May. These forecasts are now responsible for many people getting multiple powder days on Mammoth Mountain over the years.  

Ted’s Bio: Ted has been a full-time Meteorologist (CCM) for the past 25+ years. He has always been fascinated with the weather,” skiing was just a natural extension of my love for snow and rain. I started skiing at age 5,  first discovered Mammoth in 1979 as a youth, and have been a regular visitor since the late ’80s.”.

Here is the link to The WeatherGuys Powder Forecast Page. 

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