Mammoth Mountain & Eastern Sierra Recreational Weather

Thursday, May 16th, 2024 @ 9 AM – There are clear blue skies in the area this morning, with a temperature of 40 up top and an NNW wind at 10 MPH; down at Main Lodge, it’s 51 degrees after reaching a high of 60 on Wednesday. 

At the Snow Study Site at the 9000-foot level on Mammoth Mountain, there are 41 inches of snow on the ground, with seasonal snowfall at 367 inches and seasonal precipitation at 43.90

Ridging will continue to bring higher heights into the area right into the weekend. Today should be the warmest of the next few days, with some cooling expected over the weekend into early next week.

For today into Friday, midday temperatures at Main Lodge (8900 Feet) are expected to be in the upper 50s to low 60s, with mid to upper 60s in Mammoth Lakes, upper 60s for Crowley Lake to Tom Place, and upper 80s for Bishop. Over the weekend, temperatures will come down about 3-5 degrees, with an additional 3-5 degrees of cooling by the following Monday.

Winds in the area are expected to shift from the NW to the SW later today. Over the next few days, wind speeds are expected to be 5-10 MPH, with gusts to 20 MPH at times over the higher elevations. I will also mention there is a 20% chance of a stray thunderstorm on Saturday.

Snowman

NWS Main Lodge Forecast - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
NWS Main Lodge Forecast – Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
Satellite View of the Eastern Pacific and California - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
Satellite View of the Eastern Pacific and California

MSLP GIF out 10 Days—If you look closely at this forecast GIF, you can see that this ECMWF version has Thunder Storms in the forecast beyond Saturday. We need to keep a watch on this for Sunday and Monday afternoons. There could be a change in the 5-day forecast period.

MSLP = The mean sea-level pressure (MSLP) is the atmospheric pressure at the mean sea level. This is the atmospheric pressure normally given in weather reports on radio, television, and newspapers or on the Internet.

ECMWF MLSP - Here is the forecast for the next 10 Days - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
ECMWF MLSP – Here is the forecast for the next 10 Days

Temperature Anomaly GIF – A period of above-average temperatures continues through Saturday, and then some cooler days will move into the area.

*The term temperature anomaly means a departure from a reference value or long-term average. A positive anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was warmer than the reference value, while a negative anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was cooler than the reference value.

Temperature Anomaly GIF - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
Temperature Anomaly GIF

The Wind Forecast GIF running out four days will give you a good idea of what to expect for wind speeds in the high country. The yellow, orange, and red colors show wind speeds in the 30-50 MPH range. When you see the brown and whitish colors, the lifts on Mammoth Mountain will be closed. 

Wind Speed Forecast GIF - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
Wind Speed Forecast GIF

QPF Forecast Image – Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts, or QPFs, depict the amount of liquid precipitation expected to fall in a defined period of time. In the case of snow or ice, QPF represents the amount of liquid that will be measured when the precipitation is melted. 

QPF Forecast - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
QPF Forecast

QPF Anomaly Chart for the next 7 Day

Precipitation Anomaly for the next 7 days - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
Precipitation Anomaly for the next 7 days

Full 16-Day ECM 500mb Run

ECMWF 500mb Height Anomaly - Mammoth Mountain Weather Image
ECMWF 500mb Height Anomaly

Mammoth Mountain Weather - Outlooks from NOAA

DWP Precipitation for Mammoth Pass & the Eastern Sierra

El Nino - La Nina - Neutral Watch

El Nino Updated Information
El Nino Updated Information
El Nino Chart 3
El Nino Chart 3

El Nino Chart 1

El Nino Chart 2

El Nino Chart 4
El Nino Chart 4
El Nino Chart 5
El Nino Chart 5
El Nino Chart 6
El Nino Chart 6

* Mammoth Mountain and Eastern Sierra Weather is updated several times a week by local Steve Taylor. The goal is to provide detailed weather forecasts presented in an easy-to-read format. This isn’t a Hype, one-and-done model-run website. It’s just the basic facts from how I see it after 40 years of being involved in the local weather and recreation. And yes, I use Weather Bell for my forecasting data.

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Author – Steve Taylor – The Mammoth Snowman Over the last 30+ years, Snowman has spent countless hours studying and learning about Mammoth Mountain Weather and Snow Conditions first hand. He has been skiing around the hill with marked ski poles since March of 1991 so he can measure the fresh snowfall amounts out on the hill. 

Snowman started blogging this information back in 1990 on the old Mammoth BBS system, then the RSN Forums and then on to MammothSnowman.com in 2004 with Video & Photo Blog reports. (No YouTube back then). Facebook got added to the fold back in 2008 and then the Facebook Group in 2016. 

Reports, videos, and photos from the website have been featured on both local TV Stations here in Mammoth and Bishop, along with KTLA, AP, Fox, ABC, CBS, and NBC News.

Click Here to Learn More About the People Who Make MammothSnowman.com a Reality