Mammoth / Eastern Sierra Weather Story: This morning, a weakening cut-off low is sitting over southern and central California. That low will be replaced by the next ridge of high pressure, which will bring warming temperatures to Mammoth and the Eastern Sierra Region.

This is a dry pattern with the afternoon and evening thunderstorms out of the picture for the next 3-5 days. I would expect a few clouds to build up as the heat builds up over the next few days. Higher heights will be in the area with warm days for Mammoth and Hot days for Bishop right into about next Thursday.

After that, the next trough starts to make its way toward our area. That trough will be in and out of the area in a couple of days, according to the ECM ENSEMBLE MODEL.

The 45-Day ECM model has the 4-corner’s high setting up around July 1st for the start of the Dog Days of Summer and a prolonged period of warm weather. 

MSLP GIF out 7 Days – Clear and dry weather will turn hot and dry by the weekend. The only chance for thunderstorms looks to be early to mid-next week, but nothing much is showing up yet.

(MSLP) is the atmospheric pressure at the mean sea level. It is usually shown on radio, television, newspapers, or Internet weather reports.

15-Day ECM 500mb Anomaly GIF: This is the full 15-day run of the ECMWF Ensemble model. I find this solution is right more often than not compared to the other models.

I’ve been using the Euro version since Howard (Dweeb Report) taught me this was the model to look at back in the early 90s. Until about a year ago, you had to pay to get access to the ECMWF.

Temperature Anomaly GIF: Over the next ten days, the area will warm up quickly and stay that way out to about day 8 / 9, when the next trough will cool the Eastern Sierra down.

*The term temperature anomaly means a departure from a reference value or long-term average. A positive anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was warmer than the reference value, while a negative anomaly indicates that the observed temperature was cooler than the reference value.

The Wind Forecast GIF – Looking at the National Blend of Models wind forecast, wind speeds over the next week will be gusty during the afternoon and early evening hours. That’s when you can expect SW winds at 10-25 MPH over the high country and wind-prone areas of the Eastern Sierra. Yep, the wind forecast is about the same all Summer Long.

Jet Stream – This is the ECMWF ENS Run of the Jet Stream at 200 hPa. 45-Day ECMWF ENS  Run – Looking like the Dog Days of Summer will start right time on July 1st. The month of July is going to be warm for the high country and hot for the Bishop and Millpond area. Let’s hope some deep moisture makes its way in at some point to refresh the land with some rain.