mammoth weather home header

Mammoth Mountain Weather Forecast & Discusion

12-29-24 @ 8 AM Updated …HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING… Southwest winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70+ mph…

Today’s Weather Summary: The next in a series of weakening low-pressure systems will bring a chance of snow showers. Winds will increase during the early morning hours, creating more wind holds on Mammoth Mountain.

Snowfall on the hill looks in the 3-5 inch range, with 1-3 inches possible in Mammoth Lakes. On Highway 395, expect a dusting of snow at best, with a mix of rain and snow and strong cross winds from Toms Place up to Mammoth Lakes.

If you’re out on the hill today, expect cloudy skies with snow showers in the late morning and afternoon hours.

Temperatures at the first chair will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s, and mid-day temperatures will be in the low to mid-thirties from Canyon Lodge to Main Lodge, with the mid to upper 20s over the Top of the Mountain.

The wind from Canyon Lodge up to Main Lodge will be out of the Southwest at 25-30 mph, with gusts as high as 40-45 mph. The wind over the mid and upper Mountain will have gusts in the 45-65 MPH range by the afternoon hours.

For Monday, expect mostly clear skies. Temperatures at the first chair will be in the teens, and mid-day temperatures will be in the lower to mid-30s, with mid to upper 20s over the Top of the Mountain.

Winds on the lower mountain will be southwest around 10 mph. Over the Mid and Upper Mountain from 9500 feet up, winds will be southwest at 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35-45 mph.

sat 12 29 24

 

2024 12 29 06 57 06

Weather Outlook for the upcoming week.

A ridge of high presure moves for the start of 2025, bringing several days of bluebird skies Monday onward and lighter winds by midweek to Mammoth Mountain and the Eastern Sierra region.

thur ecmwf ensemble avg nepac z500 anom 5840800

The ensemble models now show the next chance for light snow and increased winds for New Year’s Weekend. 

sat ecmwf ensemble avg nepac z500 anom 5970400

2024 12 29 06 58 00Looking at the extended fantasy outlook out through the first 10-15 days of January, it looks like Ridge City, for the most part, with well below-average snowfall expected.

day10 ecmwf ensemble avg nepac z500 anom 6424000

Over the years, patterns like this have lasted about two to three weeks. Some snowfall can sometimes sneak in, but it would not be much in most cases.

The longer-range ECM weeklies do have some decent snowfall after that, but confidence in any change or snowfall that far out at this point is low.

Based on past winters like this, I expect January to be drier than average, with near-normal snowfall possible in February and March. Yes, I’m optimistic that this will be another back-end winter, but who knows? Nobody… 

Forever Hopefull for More Snowfall, Steve Taylor – The Mammoth Snowman

End of January Snowfall on the Long Range Fantasy Ensemble Runs
End of January Snowfall on the Long Range Fantasy Ensemble Runs
Long Range Fantasy Ensemble 45 Day Snowfall Outlook
Long Range Fantasy Ensemble 45-Day Snowfall Outlook 
6-10 Temperature Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
ecmwf seasonal monthly avgs avg westzoomed precip anom season mostrecent 0787200 1
ECMWF Seasonal Snowfall Outlook January - March

Most Recent Posts

mammoth weather home header

Mammoth Mountain Weather Forecast & Discusion

12-27 Summary: A weakening low-pressure systems cold front has now passed. Expect decreasing snow showers this morning. The very strong winds should also back off to a more reasonable level by this afternoon.

The Mammoth area will experience some short-wave ridging later today into Saturday before the next weather system moves in Saturday night into Sunday. Snowfall from the next system looks in the 1-3 inch range from the Main Lodge to the Top, with more in the wind-loading areas.westcoast_sat-12-27-24

If you’re out on the hill today, expect cloudy skies, decreasing snow showers, and some clearing later in the day.

Temperatures at the first chair will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s, and mid-day temperatures will be in the mid to upper thirties from Canyon Lodge to Main Lodge.

The wind from Canyon Lodge up to Main Lodge will be out of the Southwest at 35 to 40 mph, decreasing to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. The wind over the mid and upper Mountain will have gusts in the 45-65 MPH ranges this morning, decreasing to 40-50 MPH by the afternoon hours.

For Saturday, expect mostly clear skies. Temperatures at the first chair will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s, and mid-day temperatures will be in the lower 40s from Canyon Lodge to Main Lodge. With mid to upper 30s over the Top of the Mountain.

Winds on the Lower Mountain will be Southwest around 10 mph. Over the Mid and Upper Mountain from 9500 feet up, winds will be southwest at 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35-45 mph.

On Sunday, snow showers are likely at times. The midday temperature will be near 36. Winds will be Southwest at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45-55 mph.  

Steve Taylor – Snowman

FYI: Locals & Travelers: There are no major snowfall events forecasted right through the holidays, just some nice refreshing snowfall at times. Enjoy the winter wonderland.

NBM Snowfall Forecast
NBM Snowfall Forecast

Looking at the extended fantasy outlook for next week and out through the first 10 days of January, it looks like Ridge City, for the most part, with well below-average snowfall expected.

Over the years, patterns like this have lasted about three weeks. The longer-range ECM weeklies do have some decent snowfall after that, but confidence in any change or snowfall that far out is always low.

Steve Taylor – The Snowman

ecmwf ensemble avg nepac z500 anom 1735257600 1735257600 1736553600 20

ecmwf ensemble avg california qpf anom 15day 6510400

46 Day Fantasy Snowfall Outlook
46 Day Fantasy Snowfall Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
ecmwf seasonal monthly avgs avg westzoomed precip anom season mostrecent 0787200 1
ECMWF Seasonal Snowfall Outlook January - March

Most Recent Posts