Mammoth Weather Update for Sunday, July 25th, 2021

Synopsis: The monsoon is on its way back and we will see a 50% chance of thunderstorms starting today.

The thunderstorms will become a bit more numerous on Monday with heavy rain, hail, lightning, and strong outflow winds possible.

By Tuesday into Friday chances for t storms with being in the 30% range. There will be ample sun and heat these days allowing for some strong isolated storms to develop. Storms that do form will have heavy rain falling under them.

Temperatures will be typical for July with low 80s in Mammoth the next couple of days dropping into the mid-70s by Tuesday. Bishop will be near 100 today and then drop into the low 90s by Monday. Lows at night are perfect in the high country with the mid-50s expected.

Winds: Expect light winds the next couple of days unless you happen to get caught in a thunderstorm.
Smoke and haze: I would expect just light amounts at times until further notice. AQI levels have remained in the green zone for a week now for the higher elevation.

Extended Outlook: Looking out over the next 16 days I am still not seeing any excessive heat waves. Some of the models want to keep the T Storms going for the next week before they try to dry us out.

Looking out towards Fall and into the Winter months, it’s looking dry and warm to start. Models have moved from a neutral winter to forecasting a la Nina to set up again.

Kind of early to jump on how strong it could be. Mammoth and the central Sierra have done good with weak La Nina’s, not so bad with moderate ones but if it’s strong again expect a drier year.

Snowman PS I will have the images below updated by 10:10 AM this morning…

Mammoth Mountain Ski Patrol Current Conditions 7-25-2021

Forecast for the Mammoth Lakes Basin & Main Lodge @ 8900 feet

Forecast for Mammoth Lakes @ 8000 Feet

Forecast for Bishop @ 4200 feet

HRRR High-Temperature Forecast

HRRR 18 Hour Precipitation Forecast

HRRR Current Dew Point

HRRR Current Humidity Levels

Precipitable Water